SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0411 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z Mid-level flow will amplify across the western CONUS Wednesday and Thursday as a mid-level jet streak moves into the Inter Mountain West. As this occurs, lee cyclogenesis is expected which will make dry and breezy conditions likely across portions of the Southwest and southern High Plains Wednesday and Thursday. Beyond Thursday a broad trough is expected in the western CONUS but stronger mid-level flow and breezier conditions are not anticipated near dry fuels across the Southwest and southern High Plains until the early part of next week. However, there is considerable uncertainty in model guidance by that time which precludes any probabilities. ...Day3/Wednesday - D4/Thursday - southern High Plains... Dry and breezy conditions are expected across the Southwest and southern High Plains on Wednesday and Thursday in response to the developing lee cyclone, with additional support from the increasing mid-level flow over a deeply mixed airmass. Single digit relative humidity is likely both days. The strongest winds (20 to 25 mph sustained), is likely on Wednesday. In addition, most of this area has seen little to no precipitation over the past 2 weeks with additional drying expected on Tuesday. Therefore, Critical fire weather conditions are likely on Wednesday and Thursday. ..Bentley.. 04/29/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...